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May 1st, 2007
More importantly, I remain cautiously optimistic about the company's proprietary nanoparticle catalyst technology, dubbed HC3, which can help oil companies increase the value of lower-grade oil. According to CEO Kirk Benson, a number of refineries continue to assess the technology. He indicated that there's a 50-50 chance a deal will be signed by the end of the year. If this occurs, the stock could experience a nice run. Put another way, it would be like a healthy rain refilling a dwindling river.
All the same, Headwaters hardly lacks risk. It's quite possible that the overall market for construction materials will remain weak, that the company's synfuel operations will be hurt by higher oil prices (an important tax credit begins to be phased out whenever oil surpasses $62 a barrel), and that higher corn prices will squeeze margins on its new ethanol plant. But for me, the possibility of life-giving rains on the horizon -- in the form of its HC3 and CTL technology -- keep me optimistic that the company's river of profits will begin gathering strength in the not-too-distant future.
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