Nanotechnology Now

Our NanoNews Digest Sponsors

Heifer International

Wikipedia Affiliate Button

Home > News > Futurists Can Say the Dumbest Things

October 24th, 2007

Futurists Can Say the Dumbest Things

Abstract:
As someone who is described as a futurist, I make it a point to read up on what other futurists are saying about the field. To this end, I would encourage you to read this short article in Forbes that was written by James Canton. An even more insightful interview can be found in this lengthy discussion with Ian Pearson, who is a futurist for British Telecom.

On occasions, though, I will come across an article either by—or about—a futurist that will make me cringe. Yesterday, I stumbled across just such an article. It comes from the Australian newspaper, The Age and it profiles Ray Hammond, "a European author and futurologist." In defense of Mr. Hammond, let me begin by saying that I am in wholehearted agreement with this theory of "accelerating exponential technologies"—the same idea lies at the heart of my forthcoming book, Jump the Curve.

Yet, quite surprisingly, Mr. Hammond is quoted in the same article as saying "I can be certain there will be an energy crisis in the next 50 to 100 years." From my perspective, this is an absolutely asinine thing to say. If Mr. Hammond truly believes in the idea of "accelerating exponential technologies," does he somehow seem to think that such technological advances will simply jump over the energy industry?

When I scan the future, I have reached the absolute opposite conclusion as Mr. Hammond. I believe in 50 to 100 years we will be living in an era of cheap, clean, sustainable and abundant energy. As proof, I would submit how advances in nanotechnology are likely to lead to the creation of highly-efficient, low-cost, flexible polymer solar cells. If people doubt this prediction, I encourage them to review the work that companies such as NanoSolar, Miasole and Konarka are currently doing in the field and then extrapolate those advances out 50 years.

Source:
jumpthecurve.net

Bookmark:
Delicious Digg Newsvine Google Yahoo Reddit Magnoliacom Furl Facebook

Related News Press

Possible Futures

Novel 'converter' heralds breakthrough in ultra-fast data processing at nanoscale: Invention bagged four patents and could potentially make microprocessor chips work 1,000 times faster October 20th, 2017

Bringing the atomic world into full color: Researchers turn atomic force microscope measurements into color images October 19th, 2017

'Find the Lady' in the quantum world: International team of researchers presents method for quantum-mechanical swapping of positions October 18th, 2017

Long nanotubes make strong fibers: Rice University researchers advance characterization, purification of nanotube wires and films October 17th, 2017

Interviews/Book Reviews/Essays/Reports/Podcasts/Journals/White papers

A step closer to understanding quantum mechanics: Swansea University’s physicists develop a new quantum simulation protocol October 22nd, 2017

Creation of coherent states in molecules by incoherent electrons October 21st, 2017

Novel 'converter' heralds breakthrough in ultra-fast data processing at nanoscale: Invention bagged four patents and could potentially make microprocessor chips work 1,000 times faster October 20th, 2017

Strange but true: turning a material upside down can sometimes make it softer October 20th, 2017

Energy

New nanomaterial can extract hydrogen fuel from seawater: Hybrid material converts more sunlight and can weather seawater's harsh conditions October 4th, 2017

Researchers set time limit for ultrafast perovskite solar cells September 22nd, 2017

Copper catalyst yields high efficiency CO2-to-fuels conversion: Berkeley Lab scientists discover critical role of nanoparticle transformation September 20th, 2017

Solar-to-fuel system recycles CO2 to make ethanol and ethylene: Berkeley Lab advance is first demonstration of efficient, light-powered production of fuel via artificial photosynthesis September 19th, 2017

NanoNews-Digest
The latest news from around the world, FREE



  Premium Products
NanoNews-Custom
Only the news you want to read!
 Learn More
NanoTech-Transfer
University Technology Transfer & Patents
 Learn More
NanoStrategies
Full-service, expert consulting
 Learn More











ASP
Nanotechnology Now Featured Books




NNN

The Hunger Project