Nanotechnology Now

Our NanoNews Digest Sponsors



Heifer International

Wikipedia Affiliate Button


android tablet pc

Home > News > Foolish Book Review: "The Black Swan"

August 10th, 2007

Foolish Book Review: "The Black Swan"

Abstract:
One important lesson imbedded in these historical analogies is that what we don't know is frequently more important than what we do know (or think we know). This seemly innocuous statement is actually quite profound. Here's why. Throughout the book, Taleb offers compelling evidence that people -- especially so-called experts -- tend to overestimate what they know and underestimate the uncertainty that is derived from those things they don't know.

For example, how often have you heard experts in a given field make bold, confident statements? A case in point is the energy industry. These days it is not uncommon to hear specialists in the field say that oil, coal, and natural gas will remain the main source of energy for the next 30 years. Such statements can easily lead investors to believe ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM), Sasol (NYSE: SSL), and Chevron are, and will remain, solid blue-chip investments for the foreseeable future.

The problem is the people making these predictions don't know what they don't know. For example, how much do they know about synthetic genomics, such as BP (NYSE: BP) is now investigating? Is it possible that "designer bacteria" and biomass -- and not oil -- could be a major source of our energy in the future? Or is it possible that one of the nanotechnology companies that Harris & Harris (Nasdaq: TINY) has invested in could produce a breakthrough that could revolutionize solar energy and make it cost-competitive with coal?

Source:
fool.com

Bookmark:
Delicious Digg Newsvine Google Yahoo Reddit Magnoliacom Furl Facebook

Related News Press

Investments/IPO's/Splits

Pixelligent Closes $5.5 Million in Funding: Capital Will Be Used to Support Global Customer Growth December 12th, 2014

Nanometrics Announces Upcoming Investor Events November 19th, 2014

Eight19 secures 1m funding: Investment to develop production technology, and expand commercial activities for organic photovoltaics November 19th, 2014

Arrowhead to Present at Upcoming Conferences November 15th, 2014

Interviews/Book Reviews/Essays/Reports/Podcasts/Journals/White papers

Production of Nanosorbent in Iran to Remove Aromatic Pollutants December 26th, 2014

Nanotechnology Increases Durability, Performance of Asphalt December 24th, 2014

Getting into your head: Gelatin nanoparticles could deliver drugs to the brain December 23rd, 2014

Production of Special Nanocomposite in Iran with Application in Railways December 23rd, 2014

NanoNews-Digest
The latest news from around the world, FREE




  Premium Products
NanoNews-Custom
Only the news you want to read!
 Learn More
NanoTech-Transfer
University Technology Transfer & Patents
 Learn More
NanoStrategies
Full-service, expert consulting
 Learn More










ASP
Nanotechnology Now Featured Books




NNN

The Hunger Project







© Copyright 1999-2014 7th Wave, Inc. All Rights Reserved PRIVACY POLICY :: CONTACT US :: STATS :: SITE MAP :: ADVERTISE