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March 11th, 2005
In his book, Quantum Investing, Stephen Waite suggests that by 2025 at least half of the companies comprising today’s Dow Jones Index will have been replaced. He bases this prediction on his understanding of quantum physics which, he notes, is the under-lying science behind 30 percent of today’s Gross National Product. He further suggests that the influence of quantum physics will only grow more pervasive by 2025 and, in doing so, fundamentally alter the make-up of Dow.
It is a thoughtful proposition—and one which I agree—but it begs the question: Which companies will survive and which are fated to go the way of Tennessee Coal & Iron and, more recently, International Paper and AT&T?
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